Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 189.247250 217.995252 250.429630 289.887706 336.799037 391.040098 458.867324
2025-10-19 147.646803 183.677237 228.183217 287.777553 366.358993 467.659918 610.132913
2025-10-26 127.505461 167.396029 219.935687 295.357401 402.768999 553.224617 785.335767
2025-11-02 112.322703 153.815464 211.308513 298.595597 431.009675 629.845006 961.939095
2025-11-09 101.234754 143.671532 205.072777 302.927173 459.856397 710.652611 1161.112357
2025-11-16 91.478065 133.847441 197.475811 303.258304 481.443064 782.593910 1360.730560
2025-11-23 83.189110 125.034866 189.983489 302.129936 499.645124 851.109552 1569.289285
2025-11-30 77.376064 119.282220 186.389731 306.546724 527.514391 941.123051 1840.723074
2025-12-07 69.557616 109.411436 174.846084 295.487294 525.295378 973.791250 2001.674809
2025-12-14 64.127580 102.893937 168.136657 291.991053 536.442741 1034.259857 2238.655102
2025-12-21 60.512160 99.052378 165.555208 295.616497 561.860955 1128.606958 2580.503009
2025-12-28 59.028915 98.720120 169.079876 311.215504 614.090318 1291.388408 3142.626847
2026-01-04 56.847061 97.301561 171.144533 325.711844 670.065559 1484.011812 3880.269712
2026-01-11 52.701689 91.939379 165.311132 323.501003 689.370394 1596.040285 4443.326023
2026-01-18 50.255917 89.468573 164.712543 332.200892 735.724705 1789.350822 5347.788782
2026-01-25 47.532457 86.169471 162.050579 335.916230 770.771680 1962.640320 6274.893660
2026-02-01 45.197853 83.385176 160.090759 340.887151 810.085537 2159.983686 7399.004143
2026-02-08 42.672692 79.969265 156.415010 341.267226 837.436991 2330.368578 8520.288884
2026-02-15 40.246271 76.525824 152.299240 339.972119 860.027155 2493.376349 9715.577726
2026-02-22 38.535934 74.406905 150.836340 345.042216 901.994031 2734.895212 11439.607184
2026-03-01 35.660429 69.581345 142.851852 332.350190 888.934876 2781.792277 12242.243222
2026-03-08 33.649504 66.447650 138.409594 328.340112 901.815174 2928.354333 13688.983686
2026-03-15 32.345991 64.741208 137.088101 332.498403 941.514004 3191.533551 16024.123143